Craps Strategy Come Bet

Craps Come Bet Strategy The big stage in the middle of the craps board game area with the highly visible lettering, “COME” will certainly catch your eye. Be sure to read the comments to “pass” bet in our craps rules section as well as at previous point in that section before studying this craps come bet strategy. You take that down with a $7 win. Profit on the $22 risked is $4. With the two remaining numbers still working you can build up the bets you took down with two don’t come bets. Now you have a hedge. This method is good for a choppy table to a cold table. $22 inside regression/build. $5 each on the 5 and 9, $6 each on the 6 and 8. If optimal strategy is compared to optimal strategy then craps is better. By betting only the line bets and taking maximum odds the combined house edge in craps is well under 1%. The best you can do is baccarat is bet on the banker at a house edge of 1.06%. Although the place bets pay only slightly higher than the come bets, you have to remember that a come bet number has to be thrown twice in order to win. The first time to establish the come point and a second time to win. The tables below show the difference between the two types of bets.

Strategy #24

Don

The Krigman Come Martingale
used with permission


A New Strategy for Craps Fans: What the Computer Says by Alan Krigman

Craps strategy come bet

In Martingale systems, players raise their bets after every loss, hoping for a win to boost them over the top. The usual approach is to double-up on even-money wagers, so each 'series' nets one unit profit. This standard progression and its myriad variations are enticing and sources of perennial debate amongst gamblers.

Craps Strategy Come Betting

Martingale betting yields a good shot at a modest gain, offset by a small chance of a big loss. Averaged over many players, losses outpace wins by the aggregate forecast from edge and gross wager.

In a recent column about craps, I discussed pros and cons of successive Come bets without odds as alternatives to Placing multiple numbers for comparable totals at risk. This triggered my thinking about a Martingale-like twist on Come betting. Namely, begin at some base on Pass or Come. Then, on subsequent throws, match the Come bet to what's already been 'moved' onto the boxes.

Here's the idea. Start with $5 on Pass. Say the shooter throws a nine; the $5 goes to that point. The total on the boxes is $5, so the first Come bet is $5. If the shooter then rolls a four, the $5 moves there. The next Come bet is $10, this being the new total on the boxes. Maybe the third roll is a six, getting $20 in action on the boxes and requiring $20 for the Come. On the fourth roll, pretend the shooter repeats the four. This pays even money, bringing down the $5 and replacing it with $20 from the Come. Now there's $35 on the boxes, making this the fifth Come bet.

Players collect when numbers repeat. Sevens push by taking the boxes but paying the Come. There's a win on an 11 but twos, threes, and 12s are losses -- equal to the current Come bet in either case. Overall, when boxes covered by large bets repeat, profits escalate while money in the Come grows slowly or stays constant; conversely for repetitions on boxes with small bets.

I wrote a computer simulation program to test the strategy. This is far safer than trying a complicated new scheme in a casino with real money. It also permits studying millions of throws and developing dependable statistics, not relying on intuition or the anecdotal and often misleading evidence of a few sessions.

The computer ran two million separate 'hands' from come-out through seven-out, for a $5 base bet. No bounds were placed on wins or losses; 'seven out, line away, take the Comes' was the only exit criterion. However, bets were capped at $1,000 and $2,500 in two independent simulations, reflecting typical casino rules. Limits influenced results by reducing the average wager, and making the Come bet less than the total in the boxes so sevens were losses rather than pushes, under some conditions.

As anticipated when the house has an edge, the simulated solid citizens sustained a setback, on the whole. This averaged almost $12 per hand at $1,000 maximum and over $20 at $2,500. Chances of wins or losses per hand are given in the accompanying list. Tendencies differ markedly from the normal Martingale paradigm. Many hands will break even. On the minus side, lots of players can expect small hits -- under $25, but relatively few major injuries. On the plus side, nominal profits should be relatively rare but a significant fraction of bettors ought to clean up.

Craps Strategy Come Bet

Probability of Various Wins and Losses with Proposed Strategy for Come Bet Progression

Result

Probability
( $1,000 max)
Probability
($2,500 max)
lose over $2506.5% 5.8%
lose $100 to $2501.7%1.5%
lose $50 to $991.5%1.4%
lose $25 to $49 1.8% 1.8%
lose under $25 12.5% 12.5%
break even26.3%26.3%
win under $25 1.8% 2.1%
win $25 to $490.3%0.4%
win $50 to $990.5%0.6%
win $100 to $2502.4%2.8%
win over $25044.6%44.8%

Best Craps Strategy Come Bet

Should you try it? Do the amounts and probabilities in the table look appealing? Will you hold back on big come bets dictated by hot rolls, knowing that a two, three, or 12 could hurt you badly? As always, it's your call.

If you'd like to see a graphic illustration of the table above, click here

The big stage in the middle of the craps board game area with the highly visible lettering, “COME” will certainly catch your eye. Be sure to read the comments to “pass” bet in our craps rules section as well as at previous point in that section before studying this craps come bet strategy. If you bet everything on the “passport” you know you’ll not have any problems with the simple ‘COME’ bet. The best way to describe the craps COME bet as a “pass” bet, but which could be made after the point has been established. There is no “Come” bet the first roll, because that would be exactly the same as a “pass” bet.

Let’s say you make a “Come” bet and the point was set to 5. They would then place your “Come” wager in the “Come” area and wait for the next throw. Failure to reach a 7 or 11, you win (and the shooter looses), and at a craps roll, you lose (2, 3 or 12). Is it any other number, then this becomes your “come-point”. Their “come-point” is reached before a 7 you win. So a 9 is rolled, the stickman pushes your “Come” bet on the field at the 9th Now if the shooter rolls a 9 before a 7, you win, but will achieve a 7 before 9, you lose. Remember that when you “Come” bets also have the opportunity to share as a “pass” bet, a profit opportunity to use after your come-point was determined.

Craps Don't Come Bet Strategy

Also make sure to take advantage of come odds bet once point is established. Craps odds bets feature zero house edge and present excellent craps strategy how to increase your winnings.

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